Betting on Sportsbooks
Successful betting on Sportsbooks, or successful handicapping requires a substantial amount of homework and a systematic approach to gambling and money management. Profitable gambling on sportsbooks games has its price and you must be willing to put in the time and research.
Top Sportsbooks will show you some of the things you’ll need to know to make better picks and win more money this season.
1. Always approach the sportsbooks games in terms of an entire season.
Don’t try to win big on one game and set your goals to win more games than you lose over the long haul of an entire season. If you are serious about success, you must make a plan and remain disciplined. You should plan the proper bet size on each play or game. You should never risk more than 5% of your bankroll on any one play. I would guess that most of the sportsbooks gamblers are wagering too much on each game and ask you not fall into that same trap.
2. Narrow your weekly gambling choices down and make quality bets.
Narrow your weekly gambling choices down to no more than seven games per week. It’s a rare week when more than a few games will stand out as good gambling values. Find these games and you’ll better your odds of winning more than you lose. Whatever system you use for your sportsbook betting remember to keep it simple. You don’t want to worry so much about how much each play is worth and forget to handicap. If you want to be successful at sports betting remember that money management will be important.
3. Look for the best early moneyline and point spread values in the season.
Take advantage of early season point spread and money line value before the odds makers have had a chance to catch up with which teams are hot and which teams are not. During the early part of a season, look for teams that are playing much better or worse than expected to get your best value. Many novice handicappers concentrate on how a team performed the previous year, but in this era of salary cap constraints and constant roster turnover, teams never perform at the same level in two consecutive years. In addition, teams that performed well the previous year are no longer a good value because you are laying a much higher price with them, especially at the beginning of the next season. Start your handicapping analysis before the season starts so you’ll be ready to take full advantage of the first few weeks of the season.
4. Find the best odds and gambling lines.
One last place to look for value is in the line itself. With hundreds of online sportsbooks already in existence, and more springing up every season, handicapping lines and point spreads will vary from one sportsbook to the next. Having multiple places to shop for the best lines offer bettors an extra point on many games. A few extra wins that would have been pushes, and pushes that would have been losses can make a huge difference in a handicapper’s bottom line at the end of a season. A few minutes of shopping around for one last chance of additional value will make certain that you are getting the best odds for your gambling dollars.
5. Use research not trends.
The first type of a sportsbook gambling method is where you research as much as possible about the teams and the games specifically, weigh all the relevant substantive factors as best you can, and arrive at your best educated guess as to the likely outcome. The key to this method is a lot of research. The more informed your opinion or intuition is, the better.
The second method involves looking for specific trends that appear to hit at a greater than chance rate, and then betting the games that fit these trends. The overwhelming majority of such trends have little or no predictive value whatsoever. One reason I say this is because there are an infinite number of possible trends like this, so of course you can always go back after the fact and find as many as you want that have hit at a surprisingly high percentage. But you want to identify the ones that will continue to hit at that above chance percentage, and that is a very elusive task. For all intents and purposes, ignore trends and concentrate on trying to figure out who is the better team and by how much